I was thinking in terms of the first big step in 2005. Basically, people have maybe a year to get up to speed on .Net development and then two years to start converting "legacy" VB6 applications that have long-term importance.
MS has taken another big step by offering the 20 Meg Framework runtime package via Windows Update too.
This means more and more desktops will be ".Net ready" in coming months.
This also means that software developement that requires validation, like through FDA standards, etc, will all be invalidated once a piece of the pie is no longer supported. So we shall see another huge spike in software development in the coming years, but hopefully sooner.
We are rewriting our software right now in .net from vb6 and so far so good...
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