open a ticket with your provider and have them STRESS TEST the line. they do this for physical layer. if they see problems they will let you know. sometimes (most times) they only test upto their demarcation point. request that they test to your CSU (through the extended wiring) they might not do it, but give it a try.
if they dont find any problems, have telco run a bi-directional NNI test to a loop (prolly to the smartjack).
its most probably a physical issue, somewhere out there, a line is exposed to some water (when it rains) or wind is blowing at a cable thats making your connection bounce. or it could be that you screwd up the inside wiring.