OK - What new stuff will become mainstream in 2004 ?? 2

[guestgulkan]

Things seem to be a bit stale of late.
Have the providers run out of steam or are they planning a some big surprises for us in 2004

I assume M$ will put out a new OS - I hear they have a couple on the boil.

Will 3G phones be available?

Will Intel or AMD bring out a superchip?

Personally I expect the general malaise to continue.

 

[infinitelo]

I wouldnt expect longhorn to be released until 2005 or later. In the os market i would expect great things from suse linux, Open office seems to be catching on overseas. I agree that not much new stuff will come out this year, but there will be a lot of advertising for hand held devices, tablet pc's. One thing that my change is broadband and wireless. the fcc seems to be encourageing wireless computing in recent regulations. There are indications that companies are making there desktop purchases that have been delayed.
its remotely possible that m$ will release a version of the clr that will run on lynux opening all dot net software to cross platform use. (if they dont someone else will). You would see a huge acceptance of dot net and the ability to run m$ brand software anywhere. Im most likely dreaming.


if it is to be it's up to me

 

[MikeBronner]

infinitelo: you and me both! wouldn't that be the holy grail: unification of programming languages cross-plattform! **dream**
believe me, as soon as that happens, I'll be all over .Net, until then...

I do think this year will also hold major price reductions in still somewhat expensive technologies, like flat-panel displays, processors and ram will become cheaper, and most likely harddrive prices will go down as well.

What I don't think will see is an influx of new software or operating systems. I do agree though that there will be some positive changes in the Linux front which will make it more appealing to users.

But then again, who knows...

Take Care,
Mike

 

[dkediger]

Yeah, the Novell/SuSe/Ximian front could be the one to watch in the coming year. Throw in a dash of the former Novell/SCO dealings and Novell could be the real headliner for the year.

 

[theoxyde]

I've never liked Novell's previous products, but I like what I hear about their upcoming stuff. Here's hoping it isn't vaporware.

As for Longhorn, the last I heard was late '05 at the earliest. MS will likely release the full blown 64-bit WinXP in '04, along with XP Service Pack 2 in mid-to-late '04. I don't know when SQL Server Yukon is slated for release, but I'm looking for it in '04. However, unless Yukon fully allows .NET functions in stored procedures and offers something similar to Oracle's VPD, they can keep it.

'04 will probably see Linus and the Penguins cast the ring back into Mt. Doom and remove SCO's shadow from the land. Linux will primed for the desktop if a few OEM's will support it (come on Intel -- a little Linux Centrino WiFi lovin', please?). Intel will probably take an old-fashioned butt-whipping in the server market as more shops adopt the Opteron over the Xeon. Intel will need its own mainstream x86-64 chip to stem the tide.

The "Mad Cow" Burger will become a novelty item at various diners, prompting several trademark infringement lawsuits.

<fantasy>
Apple will realize the error of its ways and port OSX to the x86 platform and make a killing in the desktop software market. Microsoft will lose ground to mainstream OSX and Linux desktops and the price of the full version of WinXP will drop below $50. The US will retroactively ban software patents and innovation will drive the Wall Street bulls back to the tech sector. Patent lawyers will be forced to find a real job. In other news, the cute barista at my local coffeeshop will come to her senses and fall madly in love with me, and my beagle will learn how to use the doorknob.
</fantasy>

 

[chiph]

Sun, in an attempt to gain revenue, will institute a Java tax. Use Java in a commercial product, pay Sun. It'll kill the company, of course, but with Bill Joy gone, there won't be anyone there to tell them it's a stinker of an idea.

We'll also start to see more 64-bit clean distros of Linux. There's already a 64-bit version of Windows XP (hard to get), and MS might ship a 64-bit Windows Server 2003 in advance of Longhorn.

Chip H.


If you want to get the best response to a question, please check out FAQ222-2244 first

 

[Tarwn]

Also we will see a new version of Visual Studio .Net sometime this year. Gaming is taking off in a lot of good directions this year with titles like Doom 3, Half-Life 2, Soldner, etc so I expect to see some hardware improvements for desktops once these new titles hit the streets.

From what I have heard from MS rep's they don't plan on ever creating a Linux CLR, they basically said they did a cut-down BSD one as an example and published specs so if people want it they will have to do it themselves (which is in the works).

I'm thinking 2004 will be a lead up to 2005 technologically speaking. Phones will get more advanced but I think the real advances will show up in '05. Tablets will continue to be available and grow but I think they need another year before they get explosive. I haven't seen a great deal of new and interesting stuff fior handhelds, I'm expecting them to merge with phones more ove the next year and half. I'd like to see a handheld/phone combo with a bluetooth headset standard. That way you have your handheld on your belt with the bluetooth earpiece/mic to talk to. No big clunky handheld held up to your ear, but all the extra functionality.

Wireless telephony will continue to overtake land lines, and I'm expecting companies (like sony) to start making more noise about end-all-be-all entertainment boxes that connect your TV to the internet. Most of the new game stations are headed in that direction (play games, play movies, watch online media, replace your landline phone with video phone, etc).

I'd like to see some of the new blue-laser based DVD's hit the market, but not sure it is feasible yet from a manufacturing stand point.

I think near the end of 2004 something new will be in the rumor-mill, we're about due for another major breakthrough in the technology market. I think if we look at major market-changing devices the last one was probably handhelds (I don't count tablets because they are a mix of laptop and handheld). It should be about time for smoeone to think up something new and interesting for our bosses to spend our raises on.

-T

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The never-completed website:

http://www.tiernok.com/

 

[robbieguy2003]

As far as i can see the biggest changes for this year seem to be coming in the form of computer hardware itself.

on the desktop front we're moving away from ide to s-ata.

pci is being replaced with PCI Express (which will also take over AGP)

Gigabit lan is becoming standard on desktop boards (although switches are really expensive)

Intel are moving to their new processor socket and amd arn't sure which socket they want to use (774, 940 or 939).

Oh and intel want to introduce the BTX formfactor because their new processors look like they may consume around the 100w margin so better airflow and power supplies are needed.

On the operating system front MS are getting ready to bring the AMD64 bit operating systems to market, it will be intresting to see what happens when intel release a 64 bit chip also, will the architectures be the same or will they require diferrent versions of windows?? (back to NT4 with the alpha chips??)

Linux should move forward and is heavily pounding windows in my industry (ISP) by a fair lump, approx 60% of our servers are linux based including all major services such as mail and dns.

I think we should all expect the new shiny product rehashes (same s**t, diferrent label) but that happens every year.

Hope i havn't rambled too much


Rob